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“Billions for minutes”: the Southwest high-speed rail line, a savings opportunity for the government?

“Billions for minutes”: the Southwest high-speed rail line, a savings opportunity for the government?

By Benjamin Moisset

Published on , updated on

Mobilization against the Grand Projet ferroviaire du Sud-Ouest (GPSO), including the Bordeaux-Toulouse and Bordeaux-Dax high-speed lines, in Cadaujac, Gironde, on April 20, 2024.

Mobilization against the Great Southwest Railway Project (GPSO), including the Bordeaux-Toulouse and Bordeaux-Dax high-speed lines, in Cadaujac, Gironde, on April 20, 2024. STEPHANE DUPRAT/SIPA

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It is one of the largest railway projects in Europe… with a budget to match its ambition: the cost of the two new high-speed train lines (LGV), due to connect Bordeaux to Toulouse in 2032 and to Dax in 2037 , is in fact estimated at 14 billion euros – of which 5.6 billion will be covered by the State, i.e. the equivalent of the annual budget of the Ministry of Culture. So, at a time when Prime Minister François Bayrou will be evaluating “every euro spent” to judge their necessity, the cost of the LGVs could well be scrutinized.

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And doubt has begun to creep into the Southwest. Christophe Huau, director of the SNCF agency in charge of the project, even attempted to reassure on Thursday, June 26. "We have all the funding we need to move forward at the planned pace," and "we will adapt to the decisions of the public authorities," he stated. These statements come two weeks after the revelation of an internal Bercy memo by "L'Humanité" deeming it "possible to reexamine" projects like this one to save money. Speaking to AFP, the ministry simply stressed that "any working document has no arbitration value."

The context of the search for savings is, however, very conducive to a reassessment. François Bayrou has indeed promised to present a plan in July to return public finances to balance, with the objective of saving €40 billion to reduce the deficit. The €5.6 billion cost of the high-speed rail line in the Southwest could then interest him. Especially since this estimate is a priori underestimated: it was made "for information purposes" during 2020, before the last years of inflation.

“High-speed rail costs are drifting”

This is surely why the Minister of Regional Planning, François Rebsamen, was the first to re-examine the copy of these high-speed lines. He had invited at the end of May At the Hôtel de Roquelaure, three opponents of the project, elected officials from Gironde – the mayor of Bernos-Beaulac, Jacqueline Lartigue; the mayor of Saint-Médard-d'Eyrans, Christian Tamarelle; and MoDem MP Sophie Mette. Following this meeting, the latter described it on social media as "new support" in the request for a further study, particularly budgetary, which she intends to submit to the Prime Minister.

The Regional Economic, Social and Environmental Council (CESER) of Nouvelle-Aquitaine had already requested that "project costs be updated, as they could be revised upwards" in view of inflation. The consultative body also cited a report from the Court of Auditors, dated 23 October 2014, stating that high-speed lines were "unsustainable" from a budgetary perspective: "High-speed line costs frequently deviate from estimates," the institution wrote at the time.

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Prime Minister Francois Bayrou in Paris on April 21.

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The LGV budget estimate is indeed outdated, Minister François Rebsamen noted at the meeting with opponents, according to sources close to the matter. The reason? It does not take into account the high inflation that has been going on for several years – around 5% in 2022 and 2023, when the study predicted 2% per year. The minister "recognized the need for a new study, particularly regarding costs," according to Sophie Mette.

"Funding will come in."

To the point of reviewing its financial commitment? When contacted, the Ministries of Transport and Sustainable Development have not yet wished to answer our questions. "We will continue to [support the project] in the future: funding will come at each necessary stage," had nevertheless affirmed the Minister of Transport Philippe Tabarot last January in "La Dépêche du Midi" , that is to say before the Bercy note was revealed.

For their part, the project's supporters are highlighting the potential benefits of such a project: a positive long-term carbon footprint, tens of thousands of jobs created, and even the opening up of territories. But, during the meeting, according to the MP, the minister also "expressed his surprise at the opportunity of the Bordeaux-Dax section," estimated at €4 billion – €1.5 billion of which would be paid by the State – to gain twenty minutes between the two cities. According to the local elected officials contacted, the minister was convinced by one argument: renovating the existing line, which is already one of the fastest in France, would cost six times less money for an equivalent journey time.

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"They're going to spend billions of euros for train minutes, it's madness," the mayor of Bernos-Beaulac, Jacqueline Lartigue, protested to "Le Nouvel Obs." Opposed to the construction of the high-speed lines (LGVs) – which are supposed to cross her town – she said she was "confident" following the meeting, even though the minister categorically refused to suspend the work while a new study was carried out, according to her. She concluded: "We are asked every day to make an effort, it's time the State got involved too."

Le Nouvel Observateur

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